The Current Real Estate Market

Tennessee's housing report showed the state "did experience a strong first quarter of 2020," but the report's author cautions that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic disruptions that followed won't be clearer until subsequent reports.

The MTSU Business and Economic Research Center's statewide report for the first quarter "shows promising results," with home sales increasing overall from the previous quarter and home prices up from the previous year across the state, noted report author Murat Arik, director of the BERC at Middle Tennessee State University.

However, COVID-19's impact on initial unemployment insurance claims -- up 381.6% from the previous year and 339% from the previous quarter -- "is unprecedented" and the true impact of economic shutdown measures that began in mid-March wasn't captured in this report, Arik noted.

"Tennessee also experienced more significant negative growth for multi-family permits, both annually and quarterly, than either the United States or the South," he added.

The most significant positive outcomes were Tennessee's mortgage and real estate transfer tax collections, which increased by 41% and 30% over the previous year, respectively. Single-family housing permits have increased by 24.7% over the year, marking the third consecutive report with annual increases in single-family housing permits, Arik noted.

Mortgage tax collections had not grown at this level since the second quarter of 2015, while real estate tax collections in the first quarter "were at the highest growth level since BERC began quarterly reporting," Arik noted.

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